When the Academy of Motion Pictures Arts and Sciences recently released its shortlist of the 15 songs in consideration for Best Original Song nomination, there was almost as much talk about what wasn’t included as what was. There were no tunes from Wish, for instance, marking the first time in two decades that a Disney animated musical was shut out of a category that the studio has long dominated. New songs added to the live-action version of Disney’s The Little Mermaid by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda also didn’t make the cut, depriving Menken of his 20th nomination and denying Miranda a chance to complete his EGOT.
Wonka didn’t get any love from the Academy, either. And as silly as it sounds (or not so silly, considering its nomination at the Golden Globes) we thought there might be a chance for “Peaches” from The Super Mario Bros. to sneak in. Alas, we’ll be denied the joy of watching Jack Black perform the song live onstage at the ceremony. So, just which songs that did make the Academy’s shortlist, and what are their odds to make the final list of nominees? We’re glad you asked. Here, ranked in order of their chances for an actual nomination, is every Best Original Song contender for the 2024 Academy Awards.